The Rohingya refugee crisis, once labeled merely a humanitarian issue, has now transformed into a demographic explosion and a regional security threat. In the refugee camps of Ukhiya and Teknaf in Cox’s Bazar, an average of 87 babies are born every single day, amounting to nearly 32,000 new lives each year. Experts warn that this population surge could have devastating implications, not only for Bangladesh, but for the entire South Asian subcontinent.
Official records estimate 1.15 million Rohingyas currently reside in the camps, but international agencies suggest the number has already crossed 1.3 million. Alarmingly, in just the past year, more than 150,000 fresh infiltrations have been recorded—intensifying the crisis further.
Within the Rohingya community, family planning is largely rejected, with polygamy and the pursuit of large families remaining widespread. Many households now comprise 15 to 18 members. Sociologists describe this trend as a form of “demographic weaponry”, a long-term strategy aimed at altering the religious and political equilibrium of the region.
The Rohingya presence has already expanded beyond Cox’s Bazar, spilling into Bandarban, Chattogram city, and even the northeastern states of India. Analysts caution that unrest in these border areas will not remain confined within Bangladesh but could erupt into a regional explosion of instability.
Experts further fear that if this abnormal population growth continues unchecked, the Rohingyas may soon challenge the social, cultural, and even political position of local populations.
Proposed Strategic Measures:
International Pressure: Active UN and regional intervention to force Myanmar into Rohingya repatriation. Border Security: Stricter surveillance and enforcement to halt infiltration. Population Control Programs: Awareness campaigns on family planning, backed by strict measures if required. Internal Security: Preventing illegal Rohingya settlements in local communities. Regional Unity: A joint security framework involving Bangladesh, India, and neighboring nations.
The Rohingya issue can no longer be dismissed as solely a humanitarian or refugee problem. With unchecked birth rates, continuous infiltration, and a mentality of demographic dominance, the crisis has escalated into a population jihad. Today’s inaction will shatter tomorrow’s regional stability. Specialists warn that without immediate, firm, and coordinated measures, the future of the subcontinent cannot be safeguarded.
